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Research Preset

US Inflation Expectations

Compare market and survey measures of US inflation expectations including breakevens, forward inflation, and Michigan expectations.

Research Focus
How do market-based and survey-based measures of US inflation expectations compare across time horizons?

Compare Treasury breakeven inflation rates, forward inflation expectations, and University of Michigan survey expectations to gauge whether markets and consumers expect inflation to stay anchored near target.

What to Watch
  • Divergence between market-based and survey-based expectations
  • Short-term (5Y) versus longer-term forward (5Y5Y) expectations
  • De-anchoring signals relative to the Fed's 2% target
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